BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Mount Ayr

Class: 2 Class Rank: 30 Conference: Bluegrass Record: (25-5-4) Overall: (55-12-7) Overall Strength =   60.92

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09/25/1931 Home    W   *  78.76  45   0    2 289 ( 8-32- 4) Afton                  17.03     27.97                      
 2 10/02/1931 Away    W   *  59.83  26   6    2 273 (18-37- 8) Clearfield             -1.91     21.91                      
 3 10/09/1931 Away    W   *  82.61  27   0    2  88 (34-38- 9) Greenfield             20.87      6.13                      
 4 10/16/1931 Away    W * *  56.50   6   0    2 147 (38-44- 8) Bedford                -5.24     11.24                      
 5 10/23/1931 Home    W * *  84.94  33   0    2  83 (46-30- 7) Lamoni                 23.21      9.79                      
 6 10/30/1931 Home    W   *  95.81  53   0    2 179 (27-54- 4) Osceola                34.08     18.92                      
 7 11/04/1931 Home    W * *  69.68  20   0    2 107 (30-29-11) Lenox                   7.95     12.05                      
 8 11/11/1931 Home    W * *  85.84  39   0    2 133 (21-22-10) Leon                   24.10     14.90                      
 9 11/23/1931 Home      * *  60.92   0   0    2 231 (16-32- 4) Corydon                 0.00 X   23.69  cancel AND Corydon canceled
10 11/26/1931 Away    W      58.05   6   0   ZZ  71 ( 0- 1- 0) Albany MO              -3.68      9.68                      
11 06/01/1932 Unknown L   *  48.65   0   7    2  51 ( 9-12- 1) Des Moines Catholic   -13.08      6.08                      
12 10/07/1932 Home    T   *  50.72   0   0    2  88 (34-38- 9) Greenfield            -11.01     11.01                      
13 10/14/1932 Unknown W * *  92.05  44   0    2 147 (38-44- 8) Bedford                30.31     13.69                      
14 10/21/1932 Away    T * *  56.83   7   7    2  83 (46-30- 7) Lamoni                 -4.90      4.90                      
15 10/28/1932 Unknown W   *  51.26   6   0    2 179 (27-54- 4) Osceola               -10.48     16.48                      
16 09/22/1933 Home    W   *  58.21  12   7    2  51 ( 9-12- 1) Des Moines Catholic    -3.53      8.53                      
17 09/29/1933 Away    W   *  77.83  38   0    2 273 (18-37- 8) Clearfield             16.09     21.91                      
18 10/06/1933 Away    L   *  51.89  12  27    2  17 (60-19-13) Centerville            -9.85     -5.15                      
19 10/13/1933 Away    W * *  95.50  45   0    2 147 (38-44- 8) Bedford                33.76     11.24                      
20 10/20/1933 Home    W * *  63.94  25  13    2  83 (46-30- 7) Lamoni                  2.21      9.79                      
21 10/27/1933 Away    W   *  54.70   7   0    2 179 (27-54- 4) Osceola                -7.03     14.03                      
22 11/04/1933 Home    L   *  52.07   3  12    2  20 (24-37- 7) Council Bluffs Linco   -9.67      0.67                      
23 11/11/1933 Home    T * *  46.84   7   7    2 133 (21-22-10) Leon                  -14.90     14.90                      
24 11/17/1933 Away    W * *  64.57  10   0    2 107 (30-29-11) Lenox                   2.83      7.17                      
25 09/21/1934 Home    W   *  59.53   7   0    2  66 (38-21- 4) Orient                 -2.21      9.21                      
26 09/28/1934 Away    L   *  54.89   0  12    2  17 (60-19-13) Centerville            -6.85     -5.15                      
27 10/05/1934 Home    W   *  55.94  28   7    2 273 (18-37- 8) Clearfield             -5.80     26.80                      
28 10/12/1934 Home    W * *  85.61  40   0    2 147 (38-44- 8) Bedford                23.87     16.13                      
29 10/20/1934 Away    W * *  70.83  14   0    2  83 (46-30- 7) Lamoni                  9.10      4.90  site change         
30 10/26/1934 Home    W   *  69.81  27   0    2 179 (27-54- 4) Osceola                 8.08     18.92                      
31 11/01/1934 Home    W   *  62.61  20   0    2 186 (42-40-11) Stuart                  0.88     19.12                      
32 11/09/1934 Away    L * *  45.72   7  13    2 133 (21-22-10) Leon                  -16.01     10.01                      
33 11/16/1934 Away    T * *  54.57  14  14    2 107 (30-29-11) Lenox                  -7.17      7.17                      
34 11/23/1934 Home           60.92   0   0   ZZ  99 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   18.25                      
35 11/29/1934 Away    L   *  52.43   6  13    2  58 (44-32-16) Winterset              -9.31      2.31                      
36 07/07/1935 Unknown W * *  73.05  25   0    2 147 (38-44- 8) Bedford                11.31     13.69                      
37 09/20/1935 Home    W   *  58.53   6   0    2  66 (38-21- 4) Orient                 -3.21      9.21  first night game in area
38 10/18/1935 Home    W * *  76.94  25   0    2  83 (46-30- 7) Lamoni                 15.21      9.79                      
39 10/25/1935 Unknown W   *  53.26  14   6    2 179 (27-54- 4) Osceola                -8.48     16.48                      
40 11/28/1935 Home    T   *  54.54   0   0    2  58 (44-32-16) Winterset              -7.20      7.20                      
41 09/18/1936 Unknown W      67.97  19   0   ZZ  77 ( 5- 3- 2) Grant City MO           6.23     12.77                      
42 10/02/1936 Unknown W   *  44.38   7   0    2 273 (18-37- 8) Clearfield            -17.35     24.35                      
43 10/09/1936 Home    W * *  64.61  19   0    2 147 (38-44- 8) Bedford                 2.87     16.13                      
44 10/16/1936 Home    W * *  58.94  21  14    2  83 (46-30- 7) Lamoni                 -2.79      9.79                      
45 10/23/1936 Home    W   *  55.81  13   0    2 179 (27-54- 4) Osceola                -5.92     18.92                      
46 11/18/1936 Away    W * *  60.57   6   0    2 107 (30-29-11) Lenox                  -1.17      7.17                      
47 09/17/1937 Away    L      38.41   0  13   ZZ  77 ( 5- 3- 2) Grant City MO         -23.32     10.32                      
48 09/24/1937 Away    L   *  49.61   7  13    2  88 (34-38- 9) Greenfield            -12.13      6.13                      
49 10/01/1937 Home    W   *  73.94  39   0    2 273 (18-37- 8) Clearfield             12.20     26.80                      
50 10/08/1937 Away    T * *  50.50   0   0    2 147 (38-44- 8) Bedford               -11.24     11.24                      
51 10/15/1937 Away    W * *  62.83   6   0    2  83 (46-30- 7) Lamoni                  1.10      4.90                      
52 10/22/1937 Away    W   *  54.70   7   0    2 179 (27-54- 4) Osceola                -7.03     14.03                      
53 10/29/1937 Home    W   *  51.76  25   7    2 289 ( 8-32- 4) Afton                  -9.97     27.97  homecoming          
54 11/03/1937 Home    W * *  69.68  20   0    2 107 (30-29-11) Lenox                   7.95     12.05                      
55 11/11/1937 Home    W * *  67.84  21   0    2 133 (21-22-10) Leon                    6.10     14.90                      
56 09/16/1938 Home    T      46.52   7   7   ZZ  77 ( 5- 3- 2) Grant City MO         -15.21     15.21                      
57 09/23/1938 Home    W   *  77.72  27   0    2  88 (34-38- 9) Greenfield             15.99     11.01                      
58 09/30/1938 Home    W   *  67.94  33   0    2 273 (18-37- 8) Clearfield              6.20     26.80                      
59 10/07/1938 Home    W * *  51.61   6   0    2 147 (38-44- 8) Bedford               -10.13     16.13  homecoming          
60 10/14/1938 Home    W * *  83.94  32   0    2  83 (46-30- 7) Lamoni                 22.21      9.79                      
61 10/21/1938 Home    W   *  69.81  27   0    2 179 (27-54- 4) Osceola                 8.08     18.92                      
62 10/27/1938 Away    W   *  66.65  34   6    2 289 ( 8-32- 4) Afton                   4.92     23.08                      
63 11/02/1938 Away    W * *  74.57  26   6    2 107 (30-29-11) Lenox                  12.83      7.17                      
64 11/10/1938 Away    W * *  71.72  26   6    2 133 (21-22-10) Leon                    9.99     10.01                      
65 09/22/1939 Away    W   *  76.61  27   6    2  88 (34-38- 9) Greenfield             14.87      6.13                      
66 10/06/1939 Away    L * *  32.50   6  24    2 147 (38-44- 8) Bedford               -29.24     11.24                      
67 10/13/1939 Away    L * *  50.83   0   6    2  83 (46-30- 7) Lamoni                -10.90      4.90                      
68 10/20/1939 Unknown W   *  66.26  21   0    2 179 (27-54- 4) Osceola                 4.52     16.48                      
69 09/13/1940 Home    W      59.52  13   0   ZZ  77 ( 5- 3- 2) Grant City MO          -2.21     15.21                      
70 09/20/1940 Home    W   *  63.72  13   0    2  88 (34-38- 9) Greenfield              1.99     11.01                      
71 09/27/1940 Away    W * *  55.93  13   0    2 231 (16-32- 4) Corydon                -5.80     18.80                      
72 10/04/1940 Home    W * *  46.61  13  12    2 147 (38-44- 8) Bedford               -15.13     16.13  homecoming          
73 10/11/1940 Home    L * *  32.94   0  19    2  83 (46-30- 7) Lamoni                -28.79      9.79                      
74 10/18/1940 Home        *  60.92   0   0    2 179 (27-54- 4) Osceola                 0.00 X   18.92  cancel AND Mount Ayr player Merle Dailey died in practice on 1940-10-17
75 10/25/1940 Away    W   *  50.65  19   7    2 289 ( 8-32- 4) Afton                 -11.08     23.08                      
76 11/01/1940 Away    L * *  43.57   7  18    2 107 (30-29-11) Lenox                 -18.17      7.17                      
77 11/08/1940 Home           60.92   0   0   ZZ  99 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   18.25                      
78 11/15/1940 Away    W * *  57.72   6   0    2 133 (21-22-10) Leon                   -4.01     10.01                      
      Averages              60.92  16.3  4.0

Best game:   95.81 = 53 point win over Osceola
Worst game:  32.50 = 18 point loss to Bedford
Team stdev:  14.16